Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shakhtar Donetsk win with a probability of 49.65%. A win for Zorya Luhansk had a probability of 25.24% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shakhtar Donetsk win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.45%) and 2-0 (8.98%). The likeliest Zorya Luhansk win was 0-1 (7.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.