Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shakhtar Donetsk win with a probability of 60.26%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Minai had a probability of 18.16%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shakhtar Donetsk win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.29%) and 2-1 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.21%), while for a Minai win it was 0-1 (5.25%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shakhtar Donetsk would win this match.