Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inhulets win with a probability of 36.53%. A win for Zorya Luhansk had a probability of 36.4% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inhulets win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.01%) and 2-0 (6.44%). The likeliest Zorya Luhansk win was 0-1 (10.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.