Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shakhtar Donetsk win with a probability of 53.53%. A win for FC Oleksandriya had a probability of 23.62% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shakhtar Donetsk win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.31%) and 0-2 (8.55%). The likeliest FC Oleksandriya win was 2-1 (6.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.
