Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 50.21%. A win for Braga had a probability of 24.93% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.52%) and 2-0 (9%). The likeliest Braga win was 0-1 (7.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.
