Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Istanbul Basaksehir win with a probability of 45.26%. A win for Galatasaray had a probability of 30.16% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Istanbul Basaksehir win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.16%) and 2-0 (7.32%). The likeliest Galatasaray win was 1-2 (7.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood.
