Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a USA Women win with a probability of 75.75%. A draw had a probability of 15.1% and a win for Brazil Women had a probability of 9.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a USA Women win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10%) and 1-0 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.14%), while for a Brazil Women win it was 0-1 (2.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for USA Women in this match.
