Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Venezia win with a probability of 42.58%. A win for Ascoli had a probability of 29.77% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Venezia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.51%) and 2-0 (8.12%). The likeliest Ascoli win was 0-1 (9.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Venezia would win this match.
