Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lecce win with a probability of 45.22%. A win for Cremonese had a probability of 28.09% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lecce win was 1-0 with a probability of 12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.93%) and 2-0 (8.48%). The likeliest Cremonese win was 0-1 (8.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.
