Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 42.75%. A win for Hellas Verona had a probability of 31.17% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.87%) and 0-2 (7.51%). The likeliest Hellas Verona win was 1-0 (8.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fiorentina would win this match.
