Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spezia Calcio win with a probability of 48.77%. A win for Sassuolo had a probability of 27.22% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spezia Calcio win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.37%) and 2-0 (7.91%). The likeliest Sassuolo win was 1-2 (6.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.
