Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 62.08%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Spezia had a probability of 17.79%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.4%) and 0-1 (8.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.28%), while for a Spezia win it was 2-1 (4.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Spezia | Draw | AC Milan |
17.79% | 20.13% | 62.08% |
Both teams to score 57.4% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.73% | 38.27% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.45% | 60.55% |
Spezia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.11% | 34.89% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.37% | 71.63% |
AC Milan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.16% | 11.84% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
62.9% | 37.1% |
Score Analysis |
Spezia | Draw | AC Milan |
2-1 @ 4.89% 1-0 @ 4.35% 2-0 @ 2.29% 3-2 @ 1.83% 3-1 @ 1.72% Other @ 2.72% Total : 17.79% | 1-1 @ 9.28% 2-2 @ 5.21% 0-0 @ 4.13% 3-3 @ 1.3% Other @ 0.2% Total : 20.13% | 1-2 @ 9.9% 0-2 @ 9.4% 0-1 @ 8.81% 1-3 @ 7.04% 0-3 @ 6.69% 1-4 @ 3.76% 2-3 @ 3.71% 0-4 @ 3.57% 2-4 @ 1.98% 1-5 @ 1.6% 0-5 @ 1.52% Other @ 4.09% Total : 62.09% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Napoli | 34 | 26 | 5 | 3 | 70 | 23 | 47 | 83 |
2 | Inter Milan | 35 | 21 | 3 | 11 | 66 | 37 | 29 | 66 |
3 | Juventus | 34 | 20 | 6 | 8 | 52 | 28 | 24 | 66 |
4 | Lazio | 35 | 19 | 8 | 8 | 54 | 28 | 26 | 65 |
5 | AC Milan | 35 | 17 | 10 | 8 | 55 | 41 | 14 | 61 |
6 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 35 | 17 | 7 | 11 | 56 | 42 | 14 | 58 |
7 | Roma | 34 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 45 | 33 | 12 | 58 |
8 | Fiorentina | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 45 | 40 | 5 | 46 |
9 | Udinese | 34 | 11 | 13 | 10 | 45 | 41 | 4 | 46 |
10 | Bologna | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 43 | 44 | -1 | 46 |
11 | Monza | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 42 | 45 | -3 | 46 |
12 | Torino | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 36 | 39 | -3 | 46 |
13 | SassuoloSassuolo | 35 | 12 | 8 | 15 | 43 | 54 | -11 | 44 |
14 | Salernitana | 35 | 8 | 14 | 13 | 43 | 56 | -13 | 38 |
15 | Empoli | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 31 | 44 | -13 | 38 |
16 | Lecce | 35 | 7 | 11 | 17 | 30 | 43 | -13 | 32 |
17 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 34 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 28 | 51 | -23 | 30 |
18 | SpeziaSpezia | 35 | 6 | 12 | 17 | 30 | 56 | -26 | 30 |
19 | Cremonese | 34 | 4 | 12 | 18 | 31 | 59 | -28 | 24 |
R | Sampdoria | 34 | 3 | 8 | 23 | 20 | 61 | -41 | 17 |
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