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Serie A | Gameweek 22
Feb 13, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Alberto Picco, La Spezia, Italy
Milan logo
Spezia
2 - 0
AC Milan
Maggiore (56'), Bastoni (67')
Vignali (23'), Bastoni (25'), Erlic (58')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Dalot (65')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Spezia and AC Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 62.08%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Spezia had a probability of 17.79%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.4%) and 0-1 (8.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.28%), while for a Spezia win it was 2-1 (4.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.

Result
SpeziaDrawAC Milan
17.79%20.13%62.08%
Both teams to score 57.4%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.73%38.27%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.45%60.55%
Spezia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.11%34.89%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.37%71.63%
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.16%11.84%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.9%37.1%
Score Analysis
    Spezia 17.79%
    AC Milan 62.09%
    Draw 20.13%
SpeziaDrawAC Milan
2-1 @ 4.89%
1-0 @ 4.35%
2-0 @ 2.29%
3-2 @ 1.83%
3-1 @ 1.72%
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 17.79%
1-1 @ 9.28%
2-2 @ 5.21%
0-0 @ 4.13%
3-3 @ 1.3%
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 20.13%
1-2 @ 9.9%
0-2 @ 9.4%
0-1 @ 8.81%
1-3 @ 7.04%
0-3 @ 6.69%
1-4 @ 3.76%
2-3 @ 3.71%
0-4 @ 3.57%
2-4 @ 1.98%
1-5 @ 1.6%
0-5 @ 1.52%
Other @ 4.09%
Total : 62.09%

How you voted: Spezia vs AC Milan

Spezia
8.4%
Draw
3.0%
AC Milan
88.6%
167
Head to Head
Oct 4, 2020 5pm
gameweek 3
AC Milan
3-0
Spezia
Leao (57', 78'), Hernandez (76')
Calhanoglu (47')

Ricci (32'), Gyasi (40')
Jan 15, 2014 5pm
Round Five
AC Milan
3-1
Spezia
Robinho (28'), Pazzini (31'), Honda (47')
Honda (18'), Mexes (44')
Ferrari (90')
Catellani (16')
Content continues below the video

rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CNapoli34265370234783
2Inter Milan352131166372966
3Juventus34206852282466
4Lazio35198854282665
5AC Milan351710855411461
6Atalanta BCAtalanta351771156421458
7Roma341771045331258
8Fiorentina341210124540546
9Udinese341113104541446
10Bologna341210124344-146
11Monza341210124245-346
12Torino341210123639-346
13SassuoloSassuolo35128154354-1144
14Salernitana35814134356-1338
15Empoli34911143144-1338
16Lecce35711173043-1332
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona3479182851-2330
18SpeziaSpezia35612173056-2630
19Cremonese34412183159-2824
RSampdoria3438232061-4117

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