Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 45.09%. A win for Sassuolo had a probability of 32.2% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.6%) and 0-2 (5.97%). The likeliest Sassuolo win was 2-1 (7.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.91%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Sassuolo | Draw | Napoli |
32.2% | 22.71% | 45.09% |
Both teams to score 64.99% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
64.27% | 35.73% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
42.2% | 57.8% |
Sassuolo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.72% | 22.28% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.27% | 55.73% |
Napoli Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.62% | 16.38% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.98% | 46.02% |
Score Analysis |
Sassuolo | Draw | Napoli |
2-1 @ 7.44% 1-0 @ 5.48% 2-0 @ 4.12% 3-1 @ 3.73% 3-2 @ 3.37% 3-0 @ 2.06% 4-1 @ 1.4% 4-2 @ 1.27% Other @ 3.34% Total : 32.2% | 1-1 @ 9.91% 2-2 @ 6.73% 0-0 @ 3.65% 3-3 @ 2.03% Other @ 0.39% Total : 22.71% | 1-2 @ 8.97% 0-1 @ 6.6% 0-2 @ 5.97% 1-3 @ 5.41% 2-3 @ 4.06% 0-3 @ 3.6% 1-4 @ 2.45% 2-4 @ 1.84% 0-4 @ 1.63% 3-4 @ 0.92% Other @ 3.65% Total : 45.09% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 23 | 20 | 2 | 1 | 56 | 15 | 41 | 62 |
2 | Inter Milan | 22 | 14 | 2 | 6 | 41 | 26 | 15 | 44 |
3 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 22 | 12 | 5 | 5 | 41 | 24 | 17 | 41 |
4 | Roma | 22 | 12 | 5 | 5 | 29 | 19 | 10 | 41 |
5 | AC Milan | 22 | 12 | 5 | 5 | 38 | 30 | 8 | 41 |
6 | Lazio | 22 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 37 | 19 | 18 | 39 |
7 | Udinese | 22 | 7 | 9 | 6 | 30 | 25 | 5 | 30 |
8 | Torino | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 22 | 23 | -1 | 30 |
9 | Juventus | 22 | 13 | 5 | 4 | 34 | 17 | 17 | 29 |
10 | Monza | 22 | 8 | 5 | 9 | 28 | 30 | -2 | 29 |
11 | Bologna | 22 | 8 | 5 | 9 | 28 | 32 | -4 | 29 |
12 | Empoli | 22 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 27 |
13 | Lecce | 22 | 5 | 9 | 8 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 24 |
14 | Fiorentina | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 23 | 29 | -6 | 24 |
15 | SassuoloSassuolo | 23 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 26 | 35 | -9 | 24 |
16 | Salernitana | 22 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 25 | 42 | -17 | 21 |
17 | SpeziaSpezia | 22 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 19 | 37 | -18 | 19 |
18 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 22 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 20 | 33 | -13 | 17 |
19 | Sampdoria | 22 | 2 | 5 | 15 | 10 | 36 | -26 | 11 |
20 | Cremonese | 22 | 0 | 8 | 14 | 15 | 40 | -25 | 8 |
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