Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 58.04%. A win for Sassuolo had a probability of 21.12% and a draw had a probability of 20.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.25%) and 0-1 (7.91%). The likeliest Sassuolo win was 2-1 (5.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood.
