Roma
4 - 3
Spezia
Mayoral (17', 52'), Karsdorp (55'), Pellegrini (90+2')
Peres (87'), Mayoral (87'), Pellegrini (90+3')
Peres (87'), Mayoral (87'), Pellegrini (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 69.14%. A draw had a probability of 17.5% and a win for Spezia had a probability of 13.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.61%) and 1-0 (8.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.03%), while for a Spezia win it was 1-2 (3.85%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Roma | Draw | Spezia |
| 69.14% | 17.49% | 13.36% |
| Both teams to score 56.07% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
