Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 44.19%. A win for Napoli had a probability of 31.04% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.13%) and 2-0 (7.16%). The likeliest Napoli win was 0-1 (7.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.65%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Roma | Draw | Napoli |
44.19% | 24.77% | 31.04% |
Both teams to score 57.01% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.04% | 45.96% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.73% | 68.27% |
Roma Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.14% | 20.86% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.44% | 53.56% |
Napoli Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.04% | 27.96% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.41% | 63.59% |
Score Analysis |
Roma | Draw | Napoli |
1-0 @ 9.14% 2-1 @ 9.13% 2-0 @ 7.16% 3-1 @ 4.77% 3-0 @ 3.74% 3-2 @ 3.04% 4-1 @ 1.87% 4-0 @ 1.47% 4-2 @ 1.19% Other @ 2.68% Total : 44.19% | 1-1 @ 11.65% 0-0 @ 5.83% 2-2 @ 5.82% 3-3 @ 1.29% Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.77% | 0-1 @ 7.43% 1-2 @ 7.42% 0-2 @ 4.74% 1-3 @ 3.15% 2-3 @ 2.47% 0-3 @ 2.01% 1-4 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.81% Total : 31.04% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 20 | 17 | 2 | 1 | 48 | 15 | 33 | 53 |
2 | Inter Milan | 20 | 13 | 1 | 6 | 40 | 26 | 14 | 40 |
3 | Lazio | 20 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 36 | 16 | 20 | 38 |
4 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 20 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 39 | 23 | 16 | 38 |
5 | AC Milan | 20 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 37 | 29 | 8 | 38 |
6 | Roma | 20 | 11 | 4 | 5 | 26 | 18 | 8 | 37 |
7 | Udinese | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 27 | 21 | 6 | 28 |
8 | Torino | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 22 | -1 | 27 |
9 | Bologna | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 26 | 30 | -4 | 26 |
10 | Empoli | 20 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 26 |
11 | Monza | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 25 | 28 | -3 | 25 |
12 | Fiorentina | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 24 |
13 | Juventus | 20 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 30 | 17 | 13 | 23 |
14 | Salernitana | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 25 | 38 | -13 | 21 |
15 | Lecce | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 20 |
16 | SassuoloSassuolo | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 23 | 31 | -8 | 20 |
17 | SpeziaSpezia | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 17 | 32 | -15 | 18 |
18 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 19 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 17 | 31 | -14 | 12 |
19 | Sampdoria | 20 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 8 | 34 | -26 | 9 |
20 | Cremonese | 20 | 0 | 8 | 12 | 15 | 35 | -20 | 8 |
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