Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sampdoria win with a probability of 40.42%. A win for Lecce had a probability of 35.85% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sampdoria win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.12%) and 0-2 (5.74%). The likeliest Lecce win was 2-1 (8.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Sampdoria in this match.
