Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 58.68%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Sassuolo had a probability of 19.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.55%) and 2-0 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.07%), while for a Sassuolo win it was 1-2 (5.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.
