Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 44.09%. A win for Lazio had a probability of 33.07% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.6%) and 0-2 (5.87%). The likeliest Lazio win was 2-1 (7.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Lazio | Draw | Roma |
33.07% | 22.85% | 44.09% |
Both teams to score 64.85% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
63.94% | 36.07% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
41.83% | 58.17% |
Lazio Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.04% | 21.96% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.75% | 55.25% |
Roma Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.1% | 16.9% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.06% | 46.95% |
Score Analysis |
Lazio | Draw | Roma |
2-1 @ 7.58% 1-0 @ 5.63% 2-0 @ 4.26% 3-1 @ 3.83% 3-2 @ 3.41% 3-0 @ 2.16% 4-1 @ 1.45% 4-2 @ 1.29% Other @ 3.46% Total : 33.07% | 1-1 @ 10% 2-2 @ 6.74% 0-0 @ 3.71% 3-3 @ 2.02% Other @ 0.38% Total : 22.85% | 1-2 @ 8.89% 0-1 @ 6.6% 0-2 @ 5.87% 1-3 @ 5.27% 2-3 @ 3.99% 0-3 @ 3.48% 1-4 @ 2.34% 2-4 @ 1.78% 0-4 @ 1.55% Other @ 4.33% Total : 44.09% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 27 | 23 | 2 | 2 | 64 | 16 | 48 | 71 |
2 | Lazio | 27 | 15 | 7 | 5 | 42 | 19 | 23 | 52 |
3 | Inter Milan | 27 | 16 | 2 | 9 | 47 | 31 | 16 | 50 |
4 | AC Milan | 27 | 14 | 6 | 7 | 44 | 36 | 8 | 48 |
5 | Roma | 27 | 14 | 5 | 8 | 35 | 26 | 9 | 47 |
6 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 27 | 13 | 6 | 8 | 44 | 31 | 13 | 45 |
7 | Juventus | 27 | 17 | 5 | 5 | 45 | 22 | 23 | 41 |
8 | Udinese | 27 | 9 | 11 | 7 | 37 | 31 | 6 | 38 |
9 | Fiorentina | 27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 32 | 31 | 1 | 37 |
10 | Bologna | 27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 33 | 36 | -3 | 37 |
11 | Torino | 27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 29 | 33 | -4 | 37 |
12 | SassuoloSassuolo | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 35 | 40 | -5 | 36 |
13 | Monza | 27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 32 | 37 | -5 | 34 |
14 | Empoli | 27 | 6 | 10 | 11 | 24 | 36 | -12 | 28 |
15 | Salernitana | 27 | 6 | 9 | 12 | 31 | 47 | -16 | 27 |
16 | Lecce | 27 | 6 | 9 | 12 | 24 | 32 | -8 | 27 |
17 | SpeziaSpezia | 27 | 5 | 9 | 13 | 23 | 43 | -20 | 24 |
18 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 27 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 22 | 41 | -19 | 19 |
19 | Sampdoria | 27 | 3 | 6 | 18 | 16 | 44 | -28 | 15 |
20 | Cremonese | 27 | 1 | 10 | 16 | 22 | 49 | -27 | 13 |
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