Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genoa win with a probability of 44.35%. A win for Cagliari had a probability of 29.47% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Genoa win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.98%) and 2-0 (7.98%). The likeliest Cagliari win was 0-1 (8.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Genoa in this match.
Result | ||
Genoa | Draw | Cagliari |
44.35% | 26.19% | 29.47% |
Both teams to score 51.58% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.34% | 52.66% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.69% | 74.31% |
Genoa Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.36% | 23.64% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.27% | 57.73% |
Cagliari Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.54% | 32.46% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.02% | 68.98% |
Score Analysis |
Genoa | Draw | Cagliari |
1-0 @ 11.06% 2-1 @ 8.98% 2-0 @ 7.98% 3-1 @ 4.32% 3-0 @ 3.84% 3-2 @ 2.43% 4-1 @ 1.56% 4-0 @ 1.38% Other @ 2.8% Total : 44.34% | 1-1 @ 12.45% 0-0 @ 7.67% 2-2 @ 5.05% 3-3 @ 0.91% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.18% | 0-1 @ 8.63% 1-2 @ 7.01% 0-2 @ 4.86% 1-3 @ 2.63% 2-3 @ 1.9% 0-3 @ 1.82% Other @ 2.63% Total : 29.47% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 24 | 21 | 2 | 1 | 58 | 15 | 43 | 65 |
2 | Inter Milan | 24 | 15 | 2 | 7 | 44 | 28 | 16 | 47 |
3 | AC Milan | 24 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 41 | 30 | 11 | 47 |
4 | Lazio | 24 | 13 | 6 | 5 | 40 | 19 | 21 | 45 |
5 | Roma | 24 | 13 | 5 | 6 | 31 | 21 | 10 | 44 |
6 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 24 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 42 | 28 | 14 | 41 |
7 | Juventus | 24 | 15 | 5 | 4 | 40 | 19 | 21 | 35 |
8 | Bologna | 24 | 10 | 5 | 9 | 31 | 33 | -2 | 35 |
9 | Torino | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 26 | 29 | -3 | 31 |
10 | Udinese | 24 | 7 | 10 | 7 | 33 | 30 | 3 | 31 |
11 | Monza | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 28 | 34 | -6 | 29 |
12 | Fiorentina | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 28 |
13 | Empoli | 24 | 6 | 10 | 8 | 22 | 31 | -9 | 28 |
14 | SassuoloSassuolo | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 27 | 35 | -8 | 27 |
15 | Lecce | 24 | 6 | 9 | 9 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 27 |
16 | Salernitana | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 28 | 44 | -16 | 24 |
17 | SpeziaSpezia | 24 | 4 | 8 | 12 | 21 | 41 | -20 | 20 |
18 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 24 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 20 | 37 | -17 | 17 |
19 | Cremonese | 24 | 1 | 9 | 14 | 19 | 43 | -24 | 12 |
20 | Sampdoria | 24 | 2 | 5 | 17 | 11 | 39 | -28 | 11 |
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