Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 56.71%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Fiorentina had a probability of 21.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.01%) and 0-2 (8.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.11%), while for a Fiorentina win it was 2-1 (5.68%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.
Result | ||
Fiorentina | Draw | Inter Milan |
21.47% | 21.82% | 56.71% |
Both teams to score 57.91% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.4% | 40.6% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.01% | 62.98% |
Fiorentina Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.46% | 32.54% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.93% | 69.07% |
Inter Milan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.84% | 14.16% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.16% | 41.83% |
Score Analysis |
Fiorentina | Draw | Inter Milan |
2-1 @ 5.68% 1-0 @ 5.17% 2-0 @ 2.9% 3-1 @ 2.12% 3-2 @ 2.08% 3-0 @ 1.09% Other @ 2.43% Total : 21.47% | 1-1 @ 10.11% 2-2 @ 5.55% 0-0 @ 4.61% 3-3 @ 1.35% Other @ 0.2% Total : 21.82% | 1-2 @ 9.88% 0-1 @ 9.01% 0-2 @ 8.8% 1-3 @ 6.44% 0-3 @ 5.74% 2-3 @ 3.62% 1-4 @ 3.15% 0-4 @ 2.8% 2-4 @ 1.77% 1-5 @ 1.23% 0-5 @ 1.1% Other @ 3.18% Total : 56.71% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Napoli | 36 | 27 | 5 | 4 | 73 | 26 | 47 | 86 |
2 | Lazio | 36 | 20 | 8 | 8 | 55 | 28 | 27 | 68 |
3 | Inter Milan | 36 | 21 | 3 | 12 | 67 | 40 | 27 | 66 |
4 | AC Milan | 36 | 18 | 10 | 8 | 60 | 42 | 18 | 64 |
5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 36 | 18 | 7 | 11 | 59 | 43 | 16 | 61 |
6 | Roma | 36 | 17 | 9 | 10 | 47 | 35 | 12 | 60 |
7 | Juventus | 36 | 21 | 6 | 9 | 55 | 32 | 23 | 59 |
8 | Monza | 36 | 14 | 10 | 12 | 46 | 46 | 0 | 52 |
9 | Fiorentina | 36 | 13 | 11 | 12 | 48 | 41 | 7 | 50 |
10 | Bologna | 36 | 13 | 11 | 12 | 48 | 45 | 3 | 50 |
11 | Torino | 36 | 13 | 11 | 12 | 38 | 40 | -2 | 50 |
12 | Udinese | 36 | 11 | 13 | 12 | 45 | 44 | 1 | 46 |
13 | SassuoloSassuolo | 36 | 12 | 8 | 16 | 44 | 56 | -12 | 44 |
14 | Empoli | 36 | 10 | 12 | 14 | 36 | 46 | -10 | 42 |
15 | Salernitana | 36 | 8 | 15 | 13 | 45 | 58 | -13 | 39 |
16 | Lecce | 36 | 7 | 12 | 17 | 30 | 43 | -13 | 33 |
17 | SpeziaSpezia | 36 | 6 | 13 | 17 | 30 | 56 | -26 | 31 |
18 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 36 | 7 | 9 | 20 | 29 | 55 | -26 | 30 |
19 | Cremonese | 36 | 4 | 12 | 20 | 32 | 66 | -34 | 24 |
R | Sampdoria | 36 | 3 | 9 | 24 | 22 | 67 | -45 | 18 |
> Serie A Full Table |