Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benevento win with a probability of 48.79%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Cagliari had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benevento win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.33%) and 0-2 (9.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.16%), while for a Cagliari win it was 1-0 (7.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Benevento would win this match.
