Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benevento win with a probability of 44.49%. A win for Genoa had a probability of 30.77% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benevento win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.16%) and 2-0 (7.22%). The likeliest Genoa win was 0-1 (7.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Benevento would win this match.
