Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 61.63%. A win for Sassuolo had a probability of 19.38% and a draw had a probability of 19%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.43%) and 3-1 (7.38%). The likeliest Sassuolo win was 1-2 (5.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.98%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.
