Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 45.78%. A win for Napoli had a probability of 30.26% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.44%) and 2-0 (7.04%). The likeliest Napoli win was 1-2 (7.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.1%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.
Result | ||
Atalanta BC | Draw | Napoli |
45.78% | 23.96% | 30.26% |
Both teams to score 59.38% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.33% | 42.67% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.93% | 65.08% |
Atalanta BC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.16% | 18.84% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.71% | 50.3% |
Napoli Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.16% | 26.84% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.86% | 62.14% |
Score Analysis |
Atalanta BC | Draw | Napoli |
2-1 @ 9.27% 1-0 @ 8.44% 2-0 @ 7.04% 3-1 @ 5.15% 3-0 @ 3.92% 3-2 @ 3.39% 4-1 @ 2.15% 4-0 @ 1.64% 4-2 @ 1.41% Other @ 3.37% Total : 45.78% | 1-1 @ 11.1% 2-2 @ 6.09% 0-0 @ 5.06% 3-3 @ 1.49% Other @ 0.22% Total : 23.96% | 1-2 @ 7.3% 0-1 @ 6.65% 0-2 @ 4.38% 1-3 @ 3.2% 2-3 @ 2.67% 0-3 @ 1.92% 1-4 @ 1.05% Other @ 3.09% Total : 30.26% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 26 | 22 | 2 | 2 | 60 | 16 | 44 | 68 |
2 | Inter Milan | 26 | 16 | 2 | 8 | 47 | 30 | 17 | 50 |
3 | Lazio | 26 | 14 | 7 | 5 | 41 | 19 | 22 | 49 |
4 | Roma | 25 | 14 | 5 | 6 | 32 | 21 | 11 | 47 |
5 | AC Milan | 25 | 14 | 5 | 6 | 42 | 32 | 10 | 47 |
6 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 42 | 30 | 12 | 42 |
7 | Bologna | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 31 | 34 | -3 | 36 |
8 | Juventus | 25 | 15 | 5 | 5 | 40 | 20 | 20 | 35 |
9 | Udinese | 26 | 8 | 11 | 7 | 34 | 30 | 4 | 35 |
10 | Torino | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 27 | 29 | -2 | 34 |
11 | Monza | 25 | 9 | 5 | 11 | 30 | 35 | -5 | 32 |
12 | Fiorentina | 25 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 29 | 31 | -2 | 31 |
13 | SassuoloSassuolo | 25 | 8 | 6 | 11 | 30 | 37 | -7 | 30 |
14 | Empoli | 26 | 6 | 10 | 10 | 23 | 34 | -11 | 28 |
15 | Lecce | 25 | 6 | 9 | 10 | 24 | 29 | -5 | 27 |
16 | Salernitana | 25 | 6 | 7 | 12 | 28 | 44 | -16 | 25 |
17 | SpeziaSpezia | 26 | 5 | 9 | 12 | 23 | 42 | -19 | 24 |
18 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 25 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 20 | 37 | -17 | 18 |
19 | Sampdoria | 25 | 2 | 6 | 17 | 11 | 39 | -28 | 12 |
20 | Cremonese | 25 | 1 | 9 | 15 | 21 | 46 | -25 | 12 |
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