Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 37.92%. A win for AC Milan had a probability of 37.11% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.23%) and 0-2 (5.93%). The likeliest AC Milan win was 2-1 (8.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
AC Milan | Draw | Roma |
37.11% | 24.96% | 37.92% |
Both teams to score 57.91% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.53% | 45.47% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.2% | 67.8% |
AC Milan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.88% | 24.12% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.58% | 58.42% |
Roma Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.31% | 23.69% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.19% | 57.8% |
Score Analysis |
AC Milan | Draw | Roma |
2-1 @ 8.32% 1-0 @ 8.13% 2-0 @ 5.78% 3-1 @ 3.95% 3-2 @ 2.84% 3-0 @ 2.74% 4-1 @ 1.4% 4-2 @ 1.01% 4-0 @ 0.97% Other @ 1.98% Total : 37.12% | 1-1 @ 11.7% 2-2 @ 5.99% 0-0 @ 5.71% 3-3 @ 1.36% Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.96% | 1-2 @ 8.43% 0-1 @ 8.23% 0-2 @ 5.93% 1-3 @ 4.05% 2-3 @ 2.88% 0-3 @ 2.84% 1-4 @ 1.46% 2-4 @ 1.04% 0-4 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.06% Total : 37.92% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 17 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 39 | 13 | 26 | 44 |
2 | Juventus | 17 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 26 | 7 | 19 | 37 |
3 | AC Milan | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 31 | 16 | 15 | 36 |
4 | Inter Milan | 17 | 11 | 1 | 5 | 37 | 24 | 13 | 34 |
5 | Lazio | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 29 | 15 | 14 | 31 |
6 | Roma | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 30 |
7 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 24 | 17 | 7 | 28 |
8 | Udinese | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 25 | 19 | 6 | 25 |
9 | Fiorentina | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 21 | 22 | -1 | 23 |
10 | Torino | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 23 |
11 | Lecce | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 19 |
12 | Bologna | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 20 | 26 | -6 | 19 |
13 | Empoli | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 22 | -7 | 19 |
14 | Salernitana | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 18 |
15 | Monza | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 18 |
16 | SassuoloSassuolo | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 17 | 26 | -9 | 16 |
17 | SpeziaSpezia | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 15 |
18 | Sampdoria | 17 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 8 | 30 | -22 | 9 |
19 | Cremonese | 16 | 0 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 27 | -16 | 7 |
20 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 16 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 13 | 30 | -17 | 6 |
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