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Jun 28, 2020 at 4.15pm UK at Giuseppe Meazza
AC Milan
2 - 0
Roma
Rebic (76'), Calhanoglu (89' pen.)
Castillejo (41'), Rebic (62')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Pellegrini (23'), Veretout (90+1')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between AC Milan and Roma at San Siro, including team news and predicted lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 37.92%. A win for AC Milan had a probability of 37.11% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.23%) and 0-2 (5.93%). The likeliest AC Milan win was 2-1 (8.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.

Result
AC MilanDrawRoma
37.11%24.96%37.92%
Both teams to score 57.91%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.53%45.47%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.2%67.8%
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.88%24.12%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.58%58.42%
Roma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.31%23.69%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.19%57.8%
Score Analysis
    AC Milan 37.12%
    Roma 37.92%
    Draw 24.96%
AC MilanDrawRoma
2-1 @ 8.32%
1-0 @ 8.13%
2-0 @ 5.78%
3-1 @ 3.95%
3-2 @ 2.84%
3-0 @ 2.74%
4-1 @ 1.4%
4-2 @ 1.01%
4-0 @ 0.97%
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 37.12%
1-1 @ 11.7%
2-2 @ 5.99%
0-0 @ 5.71%
3-3 @ 1.36%
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.96%
1-2 @ 8.43%
0-1 @ 8.23%
0-2 @ 5.93%
1-3 @ 4.05%
2-3 @ 2.88%
0-3 @ 2.84%
1-4 @ 1.46%
2-4 @ 1.04%
0-4 @ 1.02%
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 37.92%

Head to Head
Feb 3, 2019 7.30pm
Roma
1-1
AC Milan
Zaniolo (46')
Manolas (18'), Zaniolo (21'), Pellegrini (63')
Piatek (26')
Suso (40'), Paqueta (53'), Kessie (72'), Calabria (90')
Aug 31, 2018 7.30pm
AC Milan
2-1
Roma
Kessie (40'), Cutrone (90')
Fazio (59')
Cristante (77'), De Rossi (88')
Feb 25, 2018 7.45pm
Oct 1, 2017 5pm
AC Milan
0-2
Roma

Calhanoglu (33'), Biglia (62')
Calhanoglu (80')
Dzeko (72'), Florenzi (77')
Dzeko (51')
Content continues below the video

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Tables
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli17142139132644
2Juventus1711422671937
3AC Milan16113231161536
4Inter Milan17111537241334
5Lazio1794429151431
6Roma169341914530
7Atalanta BCAtalanta168442417728
8Udinese176742519625
9Fiorentina176562122-123
10Torino176561819-123
11Lecce174761618-219
12Bologna165472026-619
13Empoli174761522-719
14Salernitana174672127-618
15Monza175391925-618
16SassuoloSassuolo174491726-916
17SpeziaSpezia173681628-1215
18Sampdoria172312830-229
19Cremonese160791127-167
20Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1613121330-176

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