Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tenerife win with a probability of 37.05%. A draw had a probability of 32.2% and a win for Cartagena had a probability of 30.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tenerife win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.6%) and 2-1 (6.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (15.57%), while for a Cartagena win it was 0-1 (13.57%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tenerife would win this match.
