Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tenerife win with a probability of 36.21%. A win for Ponferradina had a probability of 34.59% and a draw had a probability of 29.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tenerife win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.45%) and 0-2 (6.91%). The likeliest Ponferradina win was 1-0 (12.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.
