Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ponferradina win with a probability of 49.13%. A draw had a probability of 28.9% and a win for Lugo had a probability of 21.96%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ponferradina win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.71%) and 2-1 (8.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.8%), while for a Lugo win it was 0-1 (9.76%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood.