Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ponferradina win with a probability of 39.79%. A draw had a probability of 30.4% and a win for Cartagena had a probability of 29.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ponferradina win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.11%) and 2-1 (7.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.4%), while for a Cartagena win it was 0-1 (12.09%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.
