Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mirandes win with a probability of 37.46%. A win for Real Oviedo had a probability of 33.57% and a draw had a probability of 29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mirandes win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.67%) and 2-0 (7.17%). The likeliest Real Oviedo win was 0-1 (11.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood.
