Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Zaragoza win with a probability of 40.49%. A draw had a probability of 32.1% and a win for Malaga had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Zaragoza win was 0-1 with a probability of 16.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.61%) and 1-2 (6.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (15.88%), while for a Malaga win it was 1-0 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Zaragoza would win this match.
