Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tenerife win with a probability of 45.46%. A draw had a probability of 30.7% and a win for Lugo had a probability of 23.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tenerife win was 0-1 with a probability of 17.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.95%) and 1-2 (7.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.7%), while for a Lugo win it was 1-0 (11.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.
