Coverage of the Segunda Division clash between Lugo and Numancia.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lugo win with a probability of 36.05%. A win for Numancia had a probability of 34.77% and a draw had a probability of 29.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lugo win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.44%) and 2-0 (6.86%). The likeliest Numancia win was 0-1 (12.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.41%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lugo would win this match.
