Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 38.85%. A draw had a probability of 31.4% and a win for Girona had a probability of 29.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.01%) and 1-2 (7.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.51%), while for a Girona win it was 1-0 (12.76%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 14.5% likelihood.
