Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Zaragoza win with a probability of 40.6%. A win for Albacete had a probability of 29.78% and a draw had a probability of 29.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Zaragoza win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.17%) and 1-2 (7.77%). The likeliest Albacete win was 1-0 (11.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.35%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood.
