Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dunfermline Athletic win with a probability of 72.22%. A draw had a probability of 17.3% and a win for Alloa Athletic had a probability of 10.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dunfermline Athletic win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.1%) and 3-0 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.22%), while for an Alloa Athletic win it was 0-1 (3.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dunfermline Athletic would win this match.
