Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundee win with a probability of 57.74%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Ayr United had a probability of 19.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dundee win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.33%) and 2-1 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.83%), while for an Ayr United win it was 0-1 (5.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.
