The Match
Match Report
The Pars won 4-1 at Alloa.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dunfermline Athletic win with a probability of 39.44%. A win for Alloa Athletic had a probability of 34.07% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dunfermline Athletic win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.47%) and 0-2 (6.88%). The likeliest Alloa Athletic win was 1-0 (9.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dunfermline Athletic would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Alloa Athletic | Draw | Dunfermline Athletic |
| 34.07% | 26.49% | 39.44% |
| Both teams to score 52.33% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
