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Primeira Liga | Gameweek 18
Feb 8, 2021 at 5pm UK
Estádio de São Luís
Moreirense
Farense
1 - 2
Moreirense
Pedro (90+3')
Oudrhiri (36'), Gauld (60'), Pedro (75'), Mansilla (82')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Yan (28'), Martins (79' pen.)
Vitoria (7'), Soares (43'), Camara (87')

Preview: SC Farense vs. Moreirense - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Monday's Primeira Liga clash between SC Farense and Moreirense, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

SC Farense welcome Moreirense to the Estadio de Sao Luis on Monday afternoon as the two teams aim to build on positive results last time out.

The hosts picked up a point when they entertained Santa Clara in midweek, while Vasco Seabra's men were victorious on the road when they took on Famalicao.


Match preview

Moreirense players including Mateus Pasinato speak to the referee in January 2021© Reuters

The Leoes de Faro have struggled so far in 2020-21. Their 13-point haul after the opening 16 games of the season sees them rooted to the foot of the division, albeit with a game in hand over the clubs immediately above them.

After enduring a five-game winless streak, Sergio Vieira was relieved of his duties by the Farense hierarchy at the start of the month and replaced by compatriot Jorge Costa.

A point on Thursday ended a run of four consecutive defeats for Costa's men, who are without a victory since December 7.

Three points on Monday could see Farense shoot up the Primeira Liga standings and escape the relegation zone. Costa will be desperate to secure his first win as manager as soon as possible and will be viewing this upcoming encounter as a good opportunity to do just that.

Moreirense will be tricky customers, though, as the Parque de Jogos Comendador Joaquim de Almeida Freitas outfit are currently sitting in eighth position in the league table.

The win over Famalicao last time out put serious daylight between themselves and the bottom three, and Seabra will be hoping his side can maintain their momentum on Monday and continue to rise up the division.

Os Verdes e Brancos are yet to record back-to-back victories in the top flight this season and will be hoping to do so for the first time when they face Farense.

A win in this imminent clash could cement their status as a mid-table team and ease any lingering fears of being dragged into a relegation dogfight.

SC Farense Primeira Liga form: DLWLLD

Moreirense Primeira Liga form: LDWDLW
Moreirense form (all competitions): DLWDLW


Team News

Defensive midfielder Claudio Falcao is the only absentee for Farense after the 26-year-old picked up an injury at the start of January and is yet to recover.

Former Dundee United midfielder Ryan Gauld has been the key man for the Portuguese outfit this season, bagging five goals and providing four assists, and the Scotsman will be pivotal to his side's chances once again for the visit of Moreirense.

Pedro Nuno and Pedro Amador remain unavailable for Seabra, with the pair still sidelined with cruciate ligament injuries.

They are joined in the treatment room by midfielder Sori Mane and striking pair Andre Luis and Derik Lacerda.

SC Farense possible starting lineup:
Defendi; Tavares, Pinto, Mancha, Nunes; Oudrhir, Falcao; Lica, Gauld, Mansilla; Stojiljkovic

Moreirense possible starting lineup:
Pasinato; Ba, Rosic, Vitoria; Conte, F.Soares, Pacheco, A.Soares, D'Alberto; Walterson, Yan


SM words green background

We say: SC Farense 1-1 Moreirense

With the hosts desperately in need of a good result and enjoying the bounce that a new manager so often brings, we fancy Farense to pick up another point when Moreirense come to visit.


Top betting tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting under 3.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Under 3.5:data


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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SC Farense win with a probability of 41.16%. A win for Moreirense had a probability of 30.06% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a SC Farense win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.1%) and 2-1 (8.08%). The likeliest Moreirense win was 0-1 (10.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.


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Porto's Antonio Martinez celebrates scoring their second goal with teammates in January 2021
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TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1AroucaArouca00000000
2Benfica00000000
3BoavistaBoavista00000000
4Casa Pia00000000
5ChavesChaves00000000
6Estoril PraiaEstoril00000000
7Estrela Amadora00000000
8FamalicaoFamalicao00000000
9SC FarenseFarense00000000
10Gil Vicente00000000
11MoreirenseMoreirense00000000
12PortimonensePortimonense00000000
13Porto00000000
14Rio AveRio Ave00000000
15Braga00000000
16Sporting Lisbon00000000
17Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes00000000
18Vizela00000000

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