Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zenit St Petersburg win with a probability of 71.03%. A draw had a probability of 17.7% and a win for Orenburg had a probability of 11.26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Zenit St Petersburg win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.85%) and 2-1 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.42%), while for a Orenburg win it was 0-1 (3.72%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Zenit St Petersburg would win this match.