Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zenit St Petersburg win with a probability of 56.37%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Ural Yekaterinburg had a probability of 20.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zenit St Petersburg win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.4%) and 1-2 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.19%), while for a Ural Yekaterinburg win it was 1-0 (6.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.
