Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spartak Moscow win with a probability of 55.14%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Sochi had a probability of 20.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spartak Moscow win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.28%) and 2-1 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.42%), while for a Sochi win it was 0-1 (6.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.
