Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sochi win with a probability of 36.72%. A win for Rostov had a probability of 35.94% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sochi win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.98%) and 0-2 (6.56%). The likeliest Rostov win was 1-0 (10.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.95%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.