Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Krasnodar win with a probability of 43.61%. A win for Lokomotiv Moscow had a probability of 30.13% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Krasnodar win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.91%) and 0-2 (7.81%). The likeliest Lokomotiv Moscow win was 1-0 (8.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.
