Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zenit St Petersburg win with a probability of 61.82%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Khimki had a probability of 17.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zenit St Petersburg win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.55%) and 1-2 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.98%), while for a Khimki win it was 1-0 (5%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Zenit St Petersburg would win this match.
