Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zenit St Petersburg win with a probability of 39.18%. A win for FC Krasnodar had a probability of 36.06% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zenit St Petersburg win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.18%) and 0-2 (6.07%). The likeliest FC Krasnodar win was 2-1 (8.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Zenit St Petersburg would win this match.
