Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dynamo Moscow win with a probability of 38.82%. A win for Sochi had a probability of 32.86% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dynamo Moscow win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8%) and 2-0 (7.35%). The likeliest Sochi win was 0-1 (10.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.22%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dynamo Moscow would win this match.
