Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lokomotiv Moscow win with a probability of 39.82%. A win for Dynamo Moscow had a probability of 31.93% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lokomotiv Moscow win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.12%) and 0-2 (7.58%). The likeliest Dynamo Moscow win was 1-0 (10.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.19%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.