Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CSKA Moscow win with a probability of 59.93%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Khimki had a probability of 17.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a CSKA Moscow win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.18%) and 2-1 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.69%), while for a Khimki win it was 0-1 (5.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.
